LUDLOW statistician Russel Cheng says that anyone looking at how the future may go in coming weeks could do worse than follow what has happened in Italy.

Since the start of the outbreak Professor Change who lives on the Linney and has worked with the World Health Organisation in the past has been preparing his own model.

“An easy prediction, probably as reliable as anything else, of where we might be over the next two weeks, is simply to consider the position of Italy,” he said.

He says that the chart that he has prepared shows the progress of the disease in the United Kingdom to be in line with what has happened in Italy where the epidemic started 15 days earlier.